bellwether counties epoch times

Being poor, I do believe that we need a stable safety net for people. In 2020 the expansion also began generating $898,000 a year for the next 15 years for Lake Local Schools. Thats a highly Democratic area, but people see whats going on and theyre not happy, Sam said. Ottawa County is also the home to the Marblehead lighthouse (the oldest lighthouse in continuous operation on the Great Lakes), Africa Wildlife Safari, and its county seat of Port Clinton is known as the Walleye Capital of the World. This year, the local courthouse in Ridgway has been bustling with new voter registrations and party affiliation changes. Fitch said he finds the president to be arrogant and obnoxious at times, but I wasnt voting for a fishing buddy, I was looking for somebody to stir up Washington, D.C., Hes getting stuff done in an unconventional way, Fitch said. Because of the current situation, I have to look at our finances and say, Can I get this new truck, can I hire these two to three new employees, can we go into this new line of business? (Michael Sakal/The Epoch Times). Even Heidi Mackey, the clerk inside the station who said she hasnt voted since 2018, said shell likely vote in the May 3 primary. That doesnt make sense to me, Tisdell said. I vote for whoever I think is going to do the best job, Sam added. March 1, 2022 Updated: March 3, 2022 Print It could be said that Ottawa County is one of the top bellwether counties in Ohio, if not the country. I look at the picture of what hes doing for my country.. I feel that if Trump is president again, that will cease. But thats not the picture I look at. It doesnt matter whether you are a Republican or a Democrat, youre going to get a crook. Second, when we examine a short string of elections, we do indeed, find that some counties go with the winner in all (or virtually all the elections). I dont think he has done that bad of a job. It will cycle through. Plastic cups and straws also have been hard to come by because they require natural gas in their manufacturing process. Taking the pulse in Vigo County, Indiana, which has voted for the presidential winner in all but two elections over the past century, Cara is an Orange County, New York-based Epoch Times reporter. Once the two 2016 presidential candidates were locked in, she knew she couldnt vote for Clinton, while Trumps promise to drain the swamp piqued her interest. Im seeing more hate for this man than he has hated anyone, Tisdell said. Will Ohios Wood County Continue to Be a Reliable Bellwether Indicator? We have loads that sometimes dont cover the fuel costs., During the COVID pandemic, nobody was on the roads. If I look back on my life, there is a swing toward the right, and then it swings back toward the left. Please read our comments policy before commenting. With a fragile economy following the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, Ohio is eyeing the May 3 primary election with Wood County at somewhat of a standstill. The updated report showed that Biden won 509 counties, while Trump won 2,547 counties. The way he spoke to President Trump bothers me even more, because hes speaking to my president. Here's why. For example, across seven elections, we would expect to see 28 bellwether counties. Epoch Times: "Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020" Find UFOs, The Apocalypse, New World Order, Political Analysis, Alternative Health, Armageddon, Conspiracies, Prophecies, Spirituality, Home Schooling, Home Mortgages and more, in: Rumor Mill News Reading Room, Current Archive Moreover, if we look at the political features of the bellwethers, we do not find them exclusively among counties that are highly politically competitive. Ohios Ottawa County: Staying Afloat as One of the Top Bellwether Counties in the Country. We need to make ourselves energy independent again. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. Its crazy. I believe in a time cycle. In Terre Haute, 52-year-old Scott Hamilton said the main issue for him in this election is how divided the nation is; he said Trump is mostly to blame. Were offering a $250 bonus if someone can work 20 or more hours during their first four weeks of employment with us. . Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. An Emerson poll conducted shortly before Election Day was completely off, showing Trump and Biden neck-to-neck. America's most accurate bellwether counties, regions that have a reputation for accurately picking the president, got the presidential election completely wrong. Nothing is free, Hawker said. January 4, 2021: Rep. Jordan tweets an Epoch Times article about his effort to challenge Electoral College votes. I just want Trump in. We were as far down to five cooks last year. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. We need to be safe, and I dont think we are right now.. We dont want it, she said. Rob Portmans seat, Coppeler said. I vote for whomever I think is going to do the better job, whether they are a Democrat or a Republican. I am under that impression. While declining to say which political party he supports or how he votes, he told The Epoch Times that he used to work at the Frickers in Findlay, which is south of Bowling Green, but transferred to his current location last year because of the high price of gas. President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. Understanding the I-4 corridor's bellwether mojo requires defining the area. Our infrastructure is in bad shape.. Medicare is becoming a joke. Of the 17 bellwether counties the margin of win by President Trump was 16 points on average! He thinks the current criminal justice system imprisons too many people. For Tisdell, the two major issues that weigh on his mind this year are the riots and the pandemic. . But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. That is a very good thing to have. Natural gas is a key ingredient in the process used to make the nitrogen-based fertilizer used on crops such as corn and wheat. Articles after the 2020 election examining the predictive power of previous bellwethers are found in other sources, including the Wall Street Journal and the Epoch Times. Im not happy with either party. Shortages are all over the place, Miller said. Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain that reputation. Farming also is a big part of Wood County's make up in northwest Ohio. Since its founding in 1853 it has only got 13 out of the 37 extant elections right. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high-scoring counties, they said. 'I Should Start Voting'. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of the state between Toledo and Cleveland, the area has a population of 40,364, according to the 2020 Census. We are a rural county here, Hill told The Epoch Times. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Jim Hoft is the founder and editor of The Gateway Pundit, one of the top conservative news outlets in America. This year, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016. Note: This article gives the views of the author, and not the position of USAPP American Politics and Policy, nor the London School of Economics. These 10 bellwether counties five in Sun Belt battlegrounds, five in the Frost Belt (loosely defined to include Iowa) could point us toward each state's winner. Haotian Chen is a Ph.D. student in political science at the University of California, Irvine. In West Terre Haute, across the Wabash River from Terre Haute, Bobby Tisdell, a 38-year-old forklift driver, plans to cast his first vote on Election Day. The majority of rural America are our hard-working, blue-collar workers. Things have been bad for so long, they dont care.. But the thing that stuck out in my head, every time I read or listened to anything about [Obamas] policies, I saw such a deep revival of division, causing division between the blacks and the whites again, Jacobs said on Sept. 17. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. Hes organizing a Second Amendment rally in Ridgway for Oct. 17 to make sure gun rights are fresh in peoples minds when they head to the ballot box. Weve always had a mix of voters, Baumgardner added. The last time Ottawa County deviated from its winning choice for president was in 1960 when the county supported Republican Richard Nixon, but Democrat John F. Kennedy won. Today, there are also 14,183 independents registered to vote and five libertarians, according to the Ottawa Countys Board of Elections website. On . Its home to four universities, filled with many Democratic-leaning students. Things happen for a reason, and its out of our control until things change, Brendon told The Epoch Times. John Hawker, a 74-year-old Port Clinton resident who grew up in Toledo, was sitting at the end of the bar and also weighed in on the state of affairs. There are 22 counties in the US that managed to vote for the winning party in every single election from 1988 to 2016. If he wouldve just kept his mouth shut , Im not happy with the way things are now, Beggs added. The Epoch Times spoke with some voters in Terre Haute and surrounding towns on Oct. 20 to get a glimpse of the bellwether mood ahead of the presidential election. She only voted once, at the urging of her husband, when they got married about 30 years ago. Jason Armagost of Mudbeards Bikes and Boards has chosen to stay out of politics and doesnt vote. He loves this country. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. The state as a whole is going more Republican, Wood County Board of Elections Director Julie Baumgardner told The Epoch Times. For Brendon, another resident of Riley who declined to disclose his last name, his spiritual belief will lead him not to vote at all this year. Tammy said that with the lakefront area being a popular spot for fishing and tourists, the price of gas always has been higher than average. Because of supply chain issues, its also difficult to find parts, Miller said. A small-business owner, who didnt want to be identified, said hes voting for Biden. They see it as just a show, but I think he is for America. He doesnt seem like a really bad guy. Its going to cause stealing, probably more riots, and all that., Weve had flu around forever, different strains of it. Competing for the Democratic nomination are John Cranley and former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. He is his own worst enemy.. Longtime Rep. Marcy Kaptur, a Democrat who has been in Congress since 1983, is running for reelection; Teresa Gavarone and J.R. Majewski are competing in the GOP primary. There isnt anything I can do to change it or to make it better by voting.. If riots break out in our area and we dont have firearms, how are we going to protect our family and ourselves?. From 1980 to 2012, for instance, these bellwether counties consistently voted within a few points of the national popular vote. Visual inspection suggests that, like other counties, they voted in 2020 roughly as they did in 2016; given this (and given that many of these counties went solidly for Trump in 2016), it is unsurprising that Biden won only one of them. He also drives more than 40 miles from Marblehead to Wellington to pick up his truck. I quit voting once out of the union.. While Zulch said he voted for Trump in both presidential elections, he says hell have to wait and see who runs before saying who he would vote for in 2024. Ottawa County in Ohio has been on target every four years since 1964, and Bexar County in Texas (San Antonio) has had only one miss since 1928 (preferring the Democrat Hubert Humphrey in 1968). The indirect evidence for election fraud rests on various statistical claims about the high level of improbability of certain features of the 2020 election. We and the rest of the states boards of elections have been directed by the Ohio Secretary of States Office to hold the election on May 3. The median household annual income is approximately, In 2016, nearly 100 million eligible Americans didnt vote. In a 2020 article, Daniel Zimny-Schmitt and Michael Harris look for bellwether counties in the period 1980-2016 and identify nineteen such. Hamilton sees value in both parties, he said, but he considers himself Democratic-leaning. They also found that high-scoring counties exhibit a geographic trend. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. Of the 19 bellwether counties that have consistently voted for the presidential winner since 1980, all but one chose Trump, the Journal found, PJ Media reported. This claim is basically absurd. Hes an elitist and just couldnt keep his mouth shut. The Democrats who are vying for that partys nomination are Morgan Harper, Traci Johnson, and Tim Ryan, who has been serving in Congress for the past 2o years, or 10 consecutive terms. We need election reform.. Thats part of what has made it an effective bellwether, at least in recent decades, he said. As part of The Epoch Times Association, Inc., a nonprofit organization we stand outside of political interests and the pursuit of profit, to educate readers about today's most critical issues . Now, being more than $3 a gallon, people are beginning to notice it more as its putting a pinch on their wallets. Fourth, it lists whether they won Florida, Ohio and Iowa . dionisia pacquiao net worth; leer un archivo excel en sql server; alix pasquet iii relationship; american gold eagle type 1 vs type 2; sniper spotting scope; Shepherd said being able to bear arms is of particular importance now and she fears Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden would restrict that right. Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain. Bellwethers must make correct predictions regardless of which party wins election, but polarization makes it increasingly likely that counties will split into ones that vote regularly for a Republican or for a Democratic presidential nominee. He was an apprentice and then a journeyman in a local steamfitters union for about 10 years before he was laid off. Since the 2020 elections, there also have been 879 newly-registered voters bringing the total to 30,248, Board of Elections director Carol Ann Hill told The Epoch Times. Since picking the winning candidate in Democrat Lyndon Baines Johnson in 1964, it has deviated from the winner only twice. People are so worked up about it all the time, stressed out. Political scientists have a term for counties or states that anticipate how the rest of the country will votebellwethers. They were particularly representative in 2012, when the average 1980-to-2016 bellwether county was just 0.8 points more Democratic than the nation. Im kind of leaning toward being an independent. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952. He predicts that many Trump voters will start to waver in the weeks leading up to the election and will end up not voting. Logistics are a nightmare, Miller said. 0:00 0:00. Perhaps that is why they are a true bellwether county, not fully committing to one political party over the other. The price of regular gas at the local Sheetz was $2.53already substantially higher than across the border in West Virginia, where $2.19 was the norm. Rural white America is principally Trump, and they are ripe for conspiracy theories. Whats happening is affecting everybody, he said. TERRE HAUTE, Ind.For well over a century, voters in Vigo County, Indiana, have backed the winner in almost every presidential election. Its difficult to have a conversation nowadays without really stirring up emotions, and thats probably my main issue, Hamilton told The Epoch Times as he stood in downtown Terre Haute. Sam said he has noticed that the farmers arent happy, and their kids have to take a side job in the factory because of the economic situation. Those counties were: Warren County, Ill. Vigo County, Ind. Eleven of the 19 were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. He won nineteen-to-twenty bellwether counties. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. Although longtime county residents say that Wood County is in pretty good shape overallas there has been some recent industrial development on its north sideit also has been affected by national issues such as inflation, the price of gasoline, supply chain issues, and workforce shortages. Hawker told The Epoch Times he voted for Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, and if he wouldve been re-elected, the country wouldnt be facing the problems they are having now. Right now, its horrible. By registering for the newsletter, you agree to the, New Crew From US, Russia, and UAE Arrives at Space Station, LIVE NOW: Biden Awards Medal of Honor to Retired Army Col. Paris Davis, We Have to Pay Our Sins: Lawmakers Must Negotiate Way Out of US Debt Crisis: Sen. Manchin, Suspect Charged After Chicago Officer Dies After Shootout, Nevada Approves $330 Million in Tesla Tax Abatements Over Gigafactory Expansion. You expect the price of things to go up, thats inflation for you, Tammy said. I think thats what the world needed. The economy and good-paying jobs always have been an issue up here.. Hamilton had already cast his vote for Biden on the first day of early voting. Martin thinks the Democrats could have chosen a better candidate than Biden. Port Clinton, Ohio. What Should Fiscal and Social Policy in a Sustainable Economy Look Like? I think it worked out without me.. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to 33 percent nationally. And its just so easy to snowball it to where chances are, if youre not very careful and work very hard in the other direction, you may just [continue a life of crime].. Just like a hurricane, you can try to prepare for it the best you can, but you never know what kind of damage it is going to cause. If this thing continues, were going to be paying $6 a gallon for gas, he said. There were lines of boaters with banners and flagsthere mustve been about 2,000 boats full of people participating, Tammy added. In a video posted to Twitter on Thursday, Trump 2020 Campaign Senior Advisor for Strategy Steve Cortes took a deep dive into the 2020 election data regarding President Donald Trump's overwhelmingly dominant performance in the United States' bellwether counties, adding to the statistical improbability of a Joe Biden electoral victory. Median household incomes range from $65,000 in Bremer County, Iowa, to $32,000 in Hidalgo County in New Mexico. Bellwether County Portends a Red Pennsylvania in 2020 Election Carol Jacobs in Ridgway, Elk County, Penn., on Sept. 17, 2020. He doesnt take the money; hes got the money. In particular, recent research which identified nineteen bellwether counties found that they "tended to be whiter, older, less educated, have lower median incomes, have a lower percentage of workers in the labor force, and have higher rates of vacant housing than the country as a whole." Tammy, who didnt want to provide her last name, told The Epoch Times that during the summer leading up to the 2020 presidential election, the area had a regatta on Lake Erie in Marblehead in support of Donald Trump. If that date were to change, the Ohio legislature is the only one who can request to postpone or change the date of an election through legislative action.. He received his bachelors degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Toledo and a Masters degree in electrical engineering from Northwestern in Illinois. Martin plans to turn up at the polling booth on Election Day. They take pride in going to work, owning their home, having that simple life. When he became a Christian, he struggled with his unions blind support for Democratic candidates, most of whom arent pro-life, he said. He voted for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections and said hed vote for him again if he were the Republican nominee. On Sept. 14, a federal judge ruled Wolfs shutdown and restrictions on businesses unconstitutional, but the governor has since appealed. Our politicians need to look on both sides of the fence and work together. In 2016, he definitely was the lesser of two evils, Zulch said. Our model also links this decline to increases in polarization. Sawyer County, Wisconsin, and Clallam County, Washington, have substantial Native American populations, the authors said. Both Jacobs and her husband switched to Republican and Ive never looked back, she said. Epoch Times, Gateway Pundit, and EveryLegalVote.com show a different electoral vote count for two reasons: They exclude states with pending litigation or recounts, subtracting votes from. To accept cookies, click continue. Jeff Myers, a lifelong Vigo County resident in Riley, on the other hand, wont let the big events of the day, such as riots and the pandemic, determine his vote. They also found that high scoring counties do exhibit a geographic trend. Theres significant variability among them, though. Though Myers leans toward Trump, he hasnt made up his mind to vote for him yet; he didnt vote for Trump in 2016. We can place an order and immediately get an email back of what they dont have. Over the same time period, Democrat registrations have dipped from 9,526 to 7,576. Swept up in unproven voter fraud claims, the Shasta County Board of Supervisors has upended the county's election process, canceling its contract with . Supreme Court nominees also matter a lot to Myers in this election. I tend to vote my morals, Myers told The Epoch Times. And we just want that to continue. Two states have announced recounts. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. Carol Jacobs in Ridgway, Elk County, Penn., on Sept. 17, 2020. Miller is often faced with tough decisions in his business. What you need to know, summarized in one email. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. Theres too much corruption. Petr Svab is a reporter covering New York. This is a high farming community.. We want to get people off of welfare, we need to get people back into working again, being self sustainable. I think they [the current administration] are trying to push us into buying electric cars. We live in an evenly divided nation, and the past five presidential elections demonstrate that well with their extremely close outcomes, Bergbower, an associate professor at Indiana State University, said in an email to The Epoch Times. The 19 bellwethers tend to be poorer, whiter, older, and less educated than the rest of the country, according to an August paper by researchers from the University of Denver and University of New Hampshire. We find that bellwether success is almost entirely a matter of random coin tosses in multiple counties over time to create an appearance of predictive power that is a matter of chance. Myerss morals include being respectful to others, and he thinks Trump has failed in that regard. Like all-or nothing bellwethers, counties that closely tracked the election for 12 consecutive elections failed to continue that form for a 13th time. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. I think all politicians are crooks. He says Democratic Gov. For the first time in as long as she can remember, since becoming a registered voter 35 years ago, all three county commissioners are Republicans. SACRAMENTO . Every time you pass a law, the government becomes more oppressive. But its still anyones game when taking into account the 1.2 million unaffiliated or other-party voters and the roughly 70 percent voter turnout.

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